IPA ATLAS FILES
PUBLIC RECORDS · ELLIE’S RESEARCH ARCHIVE

One Nation

People, money, policy comparisons and recent research.

07 · ONE NATION: PEOPLE, MONEY & POLICY

What is documented—and what merely echoes

This section brings together current electoral activity, disclosed or reported funding and a comparison of official One Nation policies with the IPA’s 2012 list of 100 proposals. Similarity is not proof of influence, funding, copying or coordination.

One Nation: current national policies ↗   One Nation Victoria: policies ↗   Victorian candidates ↗   IPA: first 75 ideas ↗   IPA: additional 25 ↗

Confirmed result · national electoral context

Secret Harbour: One Nation gains a WA lower-house seat

On 30 August 2026 the ABC called the Secret Harbour by-election for One Nation’s Luke Herdegen, the party’s first lower-house victory in Western Australia. The ABC tally showed Herdegen leading Labor’s Georgia Tree 57.1% to 42.9% on the two-candidate-preferred count when checked. The result is included because analysts identified the outer-suburban contest as a possible warning for both major parties ahead of Victoria’s election; it is not evidence of an IPA role in the campaign.

Party-announced slate · formal VEC nominations pending

One Nation’s Victorian candidate expansion

One Nation Victoria’s official candidate directory listed Warren Pickering, Fiona Lopez, Mark Nicholson, Aaron Sanford, Colleen Harkin, Chris Burson, Natalie Adams, Greg Hansford, Rikkie-Lee Tyrrell, Ben Lucas, Darren Hercus, Elita Dabrowski, Garner Smith, Jeremy Johnson, Jessie Weatherley, John Barnes, Matthew Katselis, Michael Piastrino, Trevor Hammond, Donna Buxton, Stuart Robinson, Vaughan Williams and Paul Ballinger when checked on 30 August 2026. These are party announcements, not the final VEC ballot: formal nominations do not close until November.

The party’s events calendar also advertised a Pakenham community event with Pauline Hanson and a Sale fundraiser with Hanson, Pickering and Hansford. Guardian Australia reported a separate $2,000-a-head Melbourne lunch and that some invitations were amended to add authorisation statements after media inquiries. Event advertising does not identify private attendees or prove the amount ultimately raised.

Close wording and strong thematic parallel

Climate, departments and energy

One Nation now

One Nation proposes abolishing the federal Department of Climate Change, withdrawing from the Paris Agreement and ending renewable subsidies. Its Victorian branch calls for scrapping net-zero targets and supporting coal, gas and nuclear power.

IPA 2012

Items 1–3, 6 and 10 proposed repealing the carbon tax, abolishing climate bodies, repealing the renewable-energy target and leaving the Kyoto Protocol. Item 90 proposed removing restrictions on nuclear power.

Close item plus broader parallel

Smaller government and federal functions

One Nation now

The party’s savings plan calls for abolishing specified agencies and reviewing federal Education and Housing functions to remove duplication with the states.

IPA 2012

Item 2 also called for abolishing the Department of Climate Change. Items 52 and 80 proposed a smaller Commonwealth public service and returning education policy to the states. One Nation says “review,” not abolish, in relation to Education and Housing.

Partial parallel · materially different mechanism

Superannuation and housing

One Nation now

One Nation proposes allowing a person’s superannuation fund to invest in their principal home, with the relevant proceeds returned to the fund if the property is sold.

IPA 2012

Item 68 proposed allowing people to opt out of superannuation if they promised to forgo government retirement-income support. Both loosen compulsory retirement saving, but these are not the same policy.

Thematic parallel · different instrument

Trade unions and accountability

One Nation Victoria now

The Victorian branch promises to pursue a Royal Commission into CFMEU Big Build contracts and examine the Victorian Labor Party’s involvement.

IPA 2012

Items 83–85 proposed regulating unions like public companies, ending public funding for unions and employer associations, and repealing closed-shop rules. The shared theme is union accountability; the proposed legal mechanisms differ.

Thematic parallel · different jurisdiction

Property rights and compulsory acquisition

One Nation Victoria now

The party says it would repeal Victorian legislation allowing compulsory acquisition for the VNI West transmission project and scrap fines for farmers who resist land access.

IPA 2012

Item 89 called for adherence to the Commonwealth Constitution’s just-terms protection against taking or diminishing property. The common thread is property rights; one is a Victorian project-specific policy and the other a federal constitutional principle.

Thematic parallel · not an exact match

Free speech and regulation

One Nation now

One Nation says it wants constitutional protection for free speech and opposes government censorship and speech regulation.

IPA 2012

Items 4, 14 and 66 proposed repealing section 18C, abolishing ACMA and ruling out government-supported or mandated internet censorship. The policies share a free-speech theme but are not identical.

Clear difference

Foreign investment and ownership

One Nation now

One Nation advocates banning foreign ownership of residential property and restricting foreign ownership of water.

IPA 2012

Item 28 proposed abolishing the Foreign Investment Review Board, while item 97 opposed restrictions on foreign investment in agriculture. These positions move in substantially different directions.

Different current priority

Medicare

One Nation now

One Nation says it would strengthen Medicare, lift rebates and combat fraud.

IPA 2012

Item 20 proposed means-testing Medicare and item 92 proposed abolishing the Medicare levy surcharge. Those are materially different priorities from One Nation’s current policy.

Evidence status: the policy texts and dates are confirmed by the organisations’ own publications. The classifications “close,” “partial,” “thematic” and “different” are editorial comparisons. No direct Atlas partnership, funding relationship or coordinated policy process involving One Nation has been established by the sources cited here.
Current political network

One Nation and the organised right: convergence without a proven formal alliance

The historical record does not support treating One Nation and the IPA as one organisation. The more defensible chronology is gradual convergence: One Nation personnel interacted with the LibertyWorks/free-market milieu after the party’s 2016 return; CPAC later provided shared conference space; and in 2026 IPA commentary became markedly favourable toward One Nation on several issues.

ABC analysis in June 2026 documented the shift and contrasted the IPA’s recent immigration position with its earlier support for high immigration. This project records policy convergence and overlapping people separately from formal affiliation, funding or control.

Person file · expanded

James Ashby: operational power inside One Nation and IPA-network overlap

Guardian Australia’s September 2026 The Populist investigation describes One Nation national director James Ashby as exercising power comparable with Hanson’s and reports that he makes operational decisions including media access. The description is the Guardian’s assessment; this project will test it against formal roles, party records and independently documented decisions.

There is no verified evidence in this file that Ashby has been an IPA employee, fellow, board member or Atlas trainee. There is, however, repeated documented media contact: IPA deputy executive director Daniel Wild and Ashby were paired on Credlin multiple times in 2025–26, with the IPA publishing transcripts as part of the dissemination of its research.

Reporting published on 25 September also records One Nation’s acknowledgement that party funds had been loaned to Small Batch Brewing Pty Ltd for a shed and distilling equipment. ASIC records cited by the Guardian show the company is privately owned in equal shares by Ashby, Pauline Hanson and former party treasurer Alex Jones. This is relevant to party governance and should not be converted into an allegation of criminality.

Ashby is also a pilot. The earlier One Nation-linked Jabiru aircraft was treated in the AEC’s 2017–18 disclosure investigation: amended returns recorded in-kind use of the aircraft and a Vicland donation approximating its purchase price, after which the AEC closed the disclosure matter. The historical aircraft record is relevant to Ashby’s party role, but the AEC did not find that the plane itself proved criminal wrongdoing.